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UK economy might be in a recession already

GBP/USD Reverses Down, Despite the UK GDP Growing

Posted Friday, June 11, 2021 by
Skerdian Meta • 1 min read

The UK economy wa one of the hardest hit during the last coronavirus lockdowns and other restrictions in the winter. But, the UK economy is quite resilient, recovering fast after the lockdowns are over. The GDP report released earlier today showed a decent expansion in April, following another decent month in March.

But, today’s report missed expectations slightly and GBP/USD is reversing down, after it failed to break the 100 SMA (green) on the H4 chart. Now, this pair is trading around 40 pips lower form the top.  This pair has formed a resistance zone around 1.42, which looks like a god place to sell this pair, although we missed the opportunity this morning.

GBP/USD fails at the resistance zone at 1.42 again

UK April GDP Report by ONS – 11 June 2021

  • April monthly GDP +2.3% vs +2.4% expected
  • March GDP was +2.1%
  • GDP QoQ +1.5% vs +1.6% expected
  • Prior GDP QoQ was -1.5%

GBP/USD Live Chart

GBP/USD

The readings are more or less in-line with estimates and that provides a bit of a taste of the bounce in economic activity as virus restrictions were eased. Given how things have progressed in recent weeks, expect more of a pickup in May and June as well.

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