Ethereum Edges Up 2.66% but Faces a Critical Test at $1,780

Ethereum picked up 2.66% on Monday, changing hands at $1,765.95, but the move has not convinced everyone.

Quick overview

  • Ethereum's price increased by 2.66% to $1,765.95, but market sentiment remains mixed among traders.
  • A significant on-chain transaction involved an early ICO participant borrowing $10 million to acquire 5,817 ETH, raising concerns about potential forced selling if prices drop.
  • In the Philippines, Coins.ph has integrated Ethereum into its QR Ph payment network, enhancing its practical utility despite not being a trading catalyst.
  • Technical indicators show mixed signals, with ETH needing to clear the $1,780 resistance level to establish a more decisive upward trend.

Ethereum picked up 2.66% on Monday, changing hands at $1,765.95, but the move has not convinced everyone. The price landed in a range that has been contested for days, and traders on both sides have reasons to hold their ground.

The move got a quiet push from a big on-chain transaction. An early Ethereum ICO participant borrowed $10 million in USDe from Aave on June 15, using that to pick up 5,817 ETH, with 147,000 ETH already posted as collateral backing the loan. The purchase adds real demand in the short term, but it also creates a pressure point. If ETH pulls back toward $1,432, that collateral position starts looking uncomfortable, and forced selling at that scale tends to move markets.

On the adoption side, something worth noting came out of the Philippines. Coins.ph has plugged Ethereum into the country’s QR Ph payment network, which covers close to 700,000 merchant locations. It is a practical use case, not a trading catalyst, but these kinds of integrations matter for the longer-term utility argument around the network.

Technically, the picture is mixed. ETH is above its 50-day moving average at $1,733 but nowhere near the 200-day at $2,402. The Kijun line at $1,780.86 is the wall it needs to clear. Hourly MACD and ADX are pointing up, RSI is sitting near 46, and the momentum oscillators are reading oversold. The trend signals and the oscillators are not saying the same thing, which is usually what a market looks like when it has not picked a direction yet.

Traders Union analyst Anton Kharitonov noted that the buying activity is real but not decisive. He flagged $1,780 as the line that matters, and said that without clearing it convincingly, the recovery stays on thin ice. He also called out the leveraged ICO purchase as a new variable that was not on anyone’s radar last week.

Bitmine Immersion Technologies has also been adding to its ETH position through June, which adds another layer of institutional buying to the demand picture.

Most of the near-term action is likely to stay between $1,710 and $1,820. Getting above $1,780 and holding it there is what opens the door. Slipping back below $1,710 brings the leveraged collateral back into the conversation, and that is where things could get messy.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Sophia Cruz
Financial Writer - Asian & European Desks
Sophia is an experienced writer, reporter and newsdesk member, mostly on the financial sectors. For the past 5 years Sophia has covered a wide variety of topics such as the financial markets, economics, technology, fin-tech and trading. Sophia has been a part of the FX Leaders team since 2017 and works on producing valuable content and information for traders of all levels of experience.

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