QTBS and RGTI Dive as Quantum Stocks Pull Back After Policy-Driven Surge, Investors Reassess Risk

Quantum computing stocks are giving back recent gains as investors reassess the sustainability of policy-driven rallies tied to new U.S. funding and equity participation programs.

Strategic Tech Backing Boosts Then Pressures Quantum Computing Stocks

Quick overview

  • Quantum computing stocks are experiencing a decline as investors reassess the sustainability of recent policy-driven gains.
  • Shares of D-Wave Quantum and Rigetti Computing have dropped significantly, highlighting a shift in market sentiment.
  • The U.S. government's funding model, which includes equity stakes in quantum firms, has raised concerns about potential dilution and execution timelines.
  • Despite strong policy support, the sector remains volatile, with investors seeking consistent revenue growth to justify high valuations.

Quantum computing stocks are giving back recent gains as investors reassess the sustainability of policy-driven rallies tied to new U.S. funding and equity participation programs.

Quantum Stocks Under Pressure After Policy-Driven Spike

Quantum computing shares, which surged following the Trump administration’s announcement of a large-scale funding initiative, are now seeing a sharp reversal as market enthusiasm cools and profit-taking intensifies.

Shares of D-Wave Quantum and Rigetti Computing dropped roughly 7.5% and 10% respectively in today’s trading. QBTS slipped below the 28 level while RGTI moved under 25, underscoring how quickly sentiment has shifted after the earlier policy-fueled rally. The recent pullback suggests the sector is still lacking stable directional conviction, with trading remaining highly reactive to headlines rather than fundamentals.

Government Funding Model Triggers Both Optimism and Caution

The earlier surge was driven by a new U.S. program in which the government plans to distribute more than $2 billion in incentives across nine quantum-related companies. The structure is notable: instead of pure grants, the Department of Commerce will take minority equity stakes in participating firms, aligning public funding with potential upside participation.

While this approach initially boosted sentiment, investors are now weighing longer-term implications, including potential dilution concerns, political sensitivity, and uncertainty around execution timelines. The involvement of President Trump’s administration has added further attention to the strategic framing of quantum technology as a national competitiveness priority.

Corporate Developments Highlight Long-Term Ambitions

Individual company announcements have added complexity to the sector narrative. D-Wave Quantum outlined ambitious expectations for its cloud services business, projecting annual revenue capacity of $100 million to $120 million. However, its most recent quarterly revenue of $2.9 million—down sharply from $15 million a year earlier—highlighted the gap between forward projections and current performance.

Meanwhile, International Business Machines disclosed a $1 billion government-backed initiative to develop a dedicated quantum chip foundry through its Anderon subsidiary. Rigetti Computing also secured $100 million in CHIPS Act-related support over multiple years, reinforcing Washington’s push to anchor quantum infrastructure domestically.

Is the Downtrend Back On?

Shares of D-Wave Quantum have been on a downward trajectory, falling below $13 in late March but we saw a rebound in April which is reviving again.

QBTS Chart Daily – The Jump Has Stalled

After a brief recovery above $20 in February, the stock came once again come under pressure, continuing a broader downtrend that has seen it decline nearly 75% from its October peak. However QBRS stock climbed close to $25 but the 200 daily SMA (purple) turned into resistance and rejected the price, sending QBTS back below $20. However the 50 SMA (yellow) held as support again and today we’re seeing a break above the 200 SMA. Meanwhile the RGTI stock below is now testing the 200 SMA, after rebounding above $20 again.

RGTI Chart Daily – Testing the 200 SMA Again

 

Market Outlook: High Potential, High Volatility

Despite strong policy backing and rising strategic importance, the quantum computing sector remains highly volatile. The recent pullback suggests investors are increasingly cautious about chasing momentum driven primarily by funding announcements rather than consistent revenue growth.

Overall, while government involvement signals long-term confidence in quantum technologies, near-term price action indicates a market still searching for sustainable fundamentals to justify recent valuation spikes.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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