Services Fall Sharply in March in Europe, But This Is Not the Bottom

As coronavirus spread out of control in Italy first and then across Europe, the countries of the continent shut down most of the economic activity one after another, as people were ordered to isolate. This was going to lead to a deep contraction in most sectors of the Eurozone economy, if not all of them.

Services have been the most affected and considering the Chinese data for January and February, everyone expected this sector to go through a severe contraction, which it did. In Italy, the PMI indicator fell to 17.4 points in March, which is a record low. Below are the services numbers from Europe as of Friday last week:

  • Spanish Services PMI March – 23.0 against 25.6 expected
  • February stood at 52.1 points, unvrevised
  • Italian Services PMI March – 17.4 against 22.3 expected
  • February stood at 52.1 points, unvrevised
  • German Services PMI March – 31.7 against 34.3 expected; 35.5 prelim
  • February stood at 52.5 points
  • French Services PMI March – 27.4 against 29.0 expected; 29.0 prelim
  • February stood at 52.5 points
  • Eurozone Services PMI March – 26.4 against 28.2 expected; 28.4 prelim
  • February stood at 52.6 points
  • UK Services PMI March – 34.5 against 34.7 expected; 35.7 prelim
  • February stood at 53.2 points

Services fell into contraction in the rest of the Eurozone also, but the decline wasn’t as severe as in Italy. Although, everyone expects the situation to get worse in April, since most of the Eurozone countries started to close at the end of March, so April will likely be a ghost month for Europe.

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Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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