Tempted to Sell EUR/USD After the Head and Shoulders

EUR/USD retraced higher yesterday, forming a head and shoulders pattern which points down

Skerdian Meta•Tuesday, June 16, 2020•1 min read

The bullish move seems complete for EUR/USD on the H4 chart

Yesterday I posted an article on EUR/USD , explaining how the bullish retrace was coming to an end on the weekly chart. The 100 SMA was also providing resistance on this time-frame chart, which had reversed another strong bullish retrace in March, so this is a similar chart pattern.

This pair climbed to that moving average last week but failed to break it and retraced lower. Besides that, EUR/USD formed a bearish reversing candlestick last week. The price fell more than 200 pips late last week, but it retraced higher again yesterday.

But it seems like the climb is over again and now a head and shoulders pattern has formed, pointing to the downside. The height of the shoulders is not exactly the same and the neckline is not horizontal either, but they don’t have to be for this pattern. So, after the bearish chart pattern in the weekly chart and the head and shoulders here is also pointing down for this pair. I was waiting for a retrace higher yesterday and it happened, so I might open a long term sell signal here, targeting 1.10, with a stop above 1.15.

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Skerdian Meta

Lead Analyst

Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.