Is Gold A Good Buy Trade As It Heads to $2,600 on Bullish US?

Gold has been falling fast in the last two weeks after placing a record high at $2,790, but this might be a good opportunity to buy Gold.   

Gold prices continue to retreat fast, but there's support awaiting lower

Gold has been retreating fast in the last two weeks, after placing a record high at $2,790 but this might be a good opportunity to look for a place to buy XAU. After all, fundamentals and the larger trend is still pretty bullish, with predictions for the uptrend to stretch further, so pullbacks lower should present some good buying trades in Gold and Silver.

Gold has been surging in the last two years, raising almost 50% from the lows at $1,600 in November 2022. The upside momentum picked up further pace in 2024, with the Gold price reaching new highs pretty often. However, after forming a doji candlestick on the weekly chart, which is a bearish reversing signal after the uptrend, Gold turned lower and has been tumbling in the last two weeks, giving back around $180 of gains so far.

Gold Chart Daily – The 50 SMA Has Been BrokenChart XAUUSD, D1, 2024.11.11 16:46 UTC, MetaQuotes Ltd., MetaTrader 5, Demo

Gold Under Pressure Amid Stronger Dollar and Yield Gains

Since the recent U.S. election, gold has faced renewed pressure, declining another 2.7% today as the dollar strengthens and bond yields rise. This downtrend may also reflect a shift in investment flows toward Trump-backed assets like equities and Bitcoin. While gold and Bitcoin had rallied together through much of 2024, they have diverged sharply since the election: gold has fallen $75 to a session low of $2,612, while Bitcoin surged over the weekend to a record high of $82,500.

Price Momentum and Key Support Levels

Gold’s brief rally last Thursday following the election was unable to hold above $2,700, marking a continued bearish shift. A significant technical move has been gold’s drop below both the 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs), which had been strong support zones. This has given sellers the upper hand for now. Despite its remarkable performance this year, gold may find a tailwind in the coming months as December and January have traditionally been strong, with seasonal demand often heightened by geopolitical and economic concerns.

Gold Chart Weekly – The 20 SMA Awaits Lower for SupportChart XAUUSD, W1, 2024.11.11 16:57 UTC, MetaQuotes Ltd., MetaTrader 5, Demo

If gold breaks below the October low of around $2,600, the next significant support is around the 20-week SMA at $2,580. A move to this level could approach oversold territory, potentially attracting interest from dip buyers. Investors may see any pullback as a setup for a seasonal rally.

Market Sentiment and Treasury Secretary Appointment

Trump’s choice for Treasury Secretary could further impact gold sentiment. If John Paulson, a well-known gold advocate, is selected, it could shift the outlook positively for precious metals, adding an additional factor for market watchers in the coming months.

Gold Live Chart

GOLD
ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

Related Articles

HFM

HFM rest

Pu Prime

XM

Best Forex Brokers