Silver Price Rebounds to $52.10 as Bulls Eye $54.46 Recovery Target

Silver (XAG/USD) levelled out at $52.10 after coming back from a tumble from $53.25 - it's starting to look like bearish momentum...

Quick overview

  • Silver (XAG/USD) has stabilized at $52.10 after a decline from $53.25, indicating a potential loss of bearish momentum.
  • The 20-day EMA has fallen below the 50-day EMA, suggesting short-term weakness, but silver remains above the key support level of $50.56.
  • The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 45 indicates bullish divergence, hinting at a possible short-term rebound as selling pressure eases.
  • Traders should look for confirmation signals before entering positions, with key targets at $53.25 and $54.46 if bullish momentum resumes.

Silver (XAG/USD) levelled out at $52.10 after coming back from a tumble from $53.25 – it’s starting to look like bearish momentum is finally losing some steam. The metal has gotten itself into a holding pattern right at the bottom boundary of its gently rising channel – & there’s a bullish hammer candle popping up that suggests buyers might be starting to get back in to the mix. Despite still having that pressure to contend with, the bigger picture still looks pretty supportive too, so it’s possible this could just be a temporary pause before we see the next leg up.

The 20-day EMA has dropped below the 50-day EMA – that confirms the short term is looking a bit weak right now. But, despite that, Silver is still holding firm above that key level of $50.56 – a price that has historically been a pretty good magnet for buying interest. That bit of technical support is giving silver a solid foundation to work from, and could be the basis of a recovery if momentum picks up again soon.

And things are looking a bit more positive still, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sitting at 45, which is a sign of bullish divergence – where the price is making lower lows but momentum is steadying. That can be a pretty good sign that a short term rebound is on the cards – just as the selling pressure starts to fade.

Key Levels and Technical Outlook

If silver can finally break and hold above $52.40 we might see a shift in the short term mood. The next bit of upside to look out for is $53.25, which is a key resistance level that also happens to be where the 20-EMA is lurking. Beyond that, we’ve got $54.46, which is the upper band of the previous channel.

On the other hand, if it can’t sustain above $51.00, then we might be looking at another downward wave with support levels at $50.56 and $49.70 on the horizon. The recent sell off has certainly cooled the bullish momentum, but the fact that the price action is now stabilising and the RSI is flattening is telling traders to wait for a bit before committing to new positions.

Trade Plan and Entry Signals

So, just how does this all shape up for traders?

XAG/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
XAG/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
  • If you’re thinking about going long, you’re probably best looking at the $51.80-$52.00 area – that’s where the RSI divergence is happening.
  • Targets would be $53.25 first, then $54.46 – if we can get to those levels there could be a good deal of buying interest.
  • Watch out for a stop loss below $50.90 to keep your downside risk under control.

For new traders, the key thing to watch out for is confirmation – look for that bullish engulfing candle, spinning top, or EMA crossover to tell you that the buyers are starting to get back in. A bit more experienced traders might also be looking at the higher low pattern starting to form on the shorter timeframes – and that could be an early sign that silver is getting ready to make a stronger push.

Volatility is easing a bit, and that whole safe haven demand is still pretty healthy because of that global uncertainty – so, if we’re patient and wait for the right signs to appear, we might find ourselves in a good spot for the next move up.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Lead Markets Analyst – Multi-Asset (FX, Commodities, Crypto)
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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