One MA Goes, Another Comes to Rescue as Support for USD/JPY

USD/JPY has been bullish in the last 2 weeks, but it retraced down today, which ended at the 50 SMA on the H4 chart

The pullback is complete now

[[USD/JPY]] has been on a bullish trend since September, as the trade war rhetoric calmed down and US-China hinted at a partial deal, which improved the sentiment. Safe havens lost their appeal as traders turned more towards risk assets and USD/JPY kept climbing higher.

We saw a decent retrace at the end of last year, due to cash flows which were going against the USD, as well as some run for safety before the new year. USD/JPY lost around 200 pips as a result, which was also due to the increased tensions in the Middle East hurting the sentiment further.

But, the sentiment improved again after the US didn’t follow through in the conflict and the tensions are decreasing. USD/JPY turned quite bullish in the last two weeks, making new highs. The buying pressure has been strong, since the 20 SMA (grey) has been providing support during this time.

But, we saw a retrace lower during the Asian session and the 20 SMA was broken on the H4 chart. But, the 50 SMA (yellow) took its place and held the decline. Now, the price is bouncing off the 50 SMA after forming two small doji candlesticks, which are bullish reversing signals after the pullback. So, the retrace is over and the bullish trend is resuming, although we missed the chance to buy at the 50 SMA.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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