Lululemon Plunges 11% After Guidance Cut as U.S. Weakness Tests Turnaround Plan

Lululemon slides after cutting FY2026 guidance as U.S. sales weakness, tariffs, markdowns, and leadership change pressure the LULU stock.

Lululemon Plunges 11% After Guidance Cut as U.S. Weakness Tests Turnaround Plan

Quick overview

  • Lululemon Athletica's stock fell over 11% after the company cut its full-year revenue and EPS outlook despite a small first-quarter earnings beat.
  • Comparable sales in North America dropped by 5%, while international sales, particularly in China, showed growth but were insufficient to offset domestic weakness.
  • Key concerns include weak U.S. demand, higher tariff costs, and gross margin pressure, leading to negative EPS revisions and uncertainty surrounding the CEO transition.
  • Lululemon's long-term outlook hinges on stabilizing North American sales, improving product innovation, and easing tariff pressures.

Lululemon Athletica is back under pressure.

The stock closed at $124.92, then fell to about $110.80 after hours, down more than 11%, after the company cut its full-year outlook. The selloff came despite a small first-quarter beat.

Revenue rose to $2.47 billion, topping estimates, while EPS came in at $1.69, in line with expectations. But investors focused on the reset. Lululemon now expects FY2026 revenue of $11.0 billion to $11.15 billion, down from $11.35 billion to $11.50 billion. EPS guidance fell to $10.95 to $11.15, from $12.10 to $12.30.

The core problem remains North America. Americas comparable sales fell 5%, while international comparable sales rose 13%. China remains a bright spot, but it is not yet large enough to offset weakness in Lululemon’s biggest market.

Why LULU Stock Sold Off After Lululemon Earnings Release

Key pressure points:

  • Weak U.S. demand
  • Soft product launches
  • More markdown risk
  • Higher tariff costs
  • Gross margin pressure
  • CEO transition uncertainty
  • Negative EPS revisions

Gross margin also remains a major concern. Management expects Q2 gross margin to fall by about 410 basis points, driven by tariffs, store investments, distribution costs, and markdowns.

Lululemon Plunges 11% After Guidance Cut as U.S. Weakness Tests Turnaround Plan
How to trade LULU stock after Lululemon earnings release

Technical Analysis: LULU Remains in a Clear Downtrend

The technical setup is weak.

LULU trades below nearly every major moving average:

Indicator Level Signal
10-day EMA $127.49 Sell
20-day EMA $129.46 Sell
50-day EMA $140.32 Sell
100-day EMA $154.72 Sell
200-day EMA $178.77 Sell

RSI at 37.85 shows weak momentum, but not deep oversold conditions. MACD remains negative at -3.81, suggesting the broader trend is still damaged, even if short-term relief rallies are possible.

Key Support and Resistance Levels for LULU Stock

Level Type Approximate Area
Immediate Resistance $125-$130
Major Resistance $140-$142
Long-Term Resistance $171-$179
Near-Term Support $110-$116
Secondary Support $100
Major Support $90-$95

A rebound above $125-$130 would show early stabilization. A break below $110 could open the path toward $100.

Lululemon (LULU) Stock’s Long-Term Outlook

Lululemon still has strong brand equity, global expansion potential, and a profitable business model. But the market is no longer valuing it as a flawless premium growth story.

The bull case depends on:

  • North America stabilizing
  • Product innovation improving
  • Tariff pressure easing
  • New CEO Heidi O’Neill restoring confidence
  • China and international markets sustaining growth

For now, LULU looks like a turnaround stock, not a momentum stock. The valuation is cheaper, with a P/E near 8.7, but the lower multiple reflects real execution risk.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Lead Markets Analyst – Multi-Asset (FX, Commodities, Crypto)
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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