S&P500, NASDAQ and DJIA Price Forecast: Ready For A Correction?


S&P 500 (SPX): Potential Correction on the Horizon?

Despite recent bearish pressure over the Eastern holidays, the S&P 500 (SPX) has maintained its position within an upward trend channel. A critical moment approaches as we watch the channel’s support; a breach here could see the index seeking solace around the 50-4h EMA, marked at approximately 5,159.

Should this layer of support falter, the SPX is poised to test its resilience at the next significant safety net: the 200-4h EMA located at 4,891.5, closely followed by the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.382 at 4,817.

Current indicators accentuate the bears’ growing influence, highlighted by a developing bearish divergence and a worrying shift in the MACD histogram, paired with a bearish crossover in the MACD lines within the 4-hour chart. This confluence of signals suggests that caution is warranted, with a closer eye on support levels for potential breaches indicating a deeper correction.

Nasdaq Composite Index (IXIC): Bearish Undercurrents?

Navigating within an upward channel, the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) is currently testing its mettle against the channel support at the pivotal 50-4H EMA. A successful defense of this level could propel the index towards a formidable resistance zone stretching from 15,450 to 16,539.

Failure to hold above could see the index descending towards the 200-4H EMA positioned at 15,324. The bearish cross in the MACD lines, coupled with a declining MACD histogram, paints a cautious narrative. Meanwhile, the RSI offers no clear directional bias, leaving traders parsing through mixed signals.

DJIA (US30): Bracing for a Bounce or Break?

The DJIA (US30) has undergone a significant pullback, shedding 2.35% in recent days. This downturn brings the index to a crucial juncture, with the 200-4H EMA at 39,000 serving as a potential pivot point for recovery.

Should a rebound occur, resistance levels await at Fibonacci markers of 39,406 and 39,650, with the 50-4H EMA at 39,418 posing an additional hurdle. However, the RSI’s dip into oversold territory and a nascent bullish tick in the MACD histogram suggest that while the corrective phase is evident, there’s a shimmer of short-term upside potential.

This analysis underscores the importance of vigilance in the coming days. Traders should prepare for potential volatility, with a keen focus on the mentioned support and resistance levels.

 

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Konstantin Kaiser
Financial Writer and Market Analyst
Konstantin Kaiser comes from a data science background and has significant experience in quantitative trading. His interest in technology took a notable turn in 2013 when he discovered Bitcoin and was instantly intrigued by the potential of this disruptive technology.

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