Apple (AAPL) Stock Significantly Outperforms S&P 500: A Strong Bullish Trend in 2024

Since April this year, both Apple (AAPL) stock and the S&P 500 have entered a significant upward phase, with Apple surging over 44.5 % and the S&P 500 gaining approximately 14.5 %. The key question now is whether Apple will continue to outpace the S&P 500 (SPX) in the coming months.
S&P 500 (SPX) Bounces Back After Missing Fibonacci Support, Surges Over 6% in a Week
The S&P 500 (SPX) narrowly missed a critical Fibonacci support level by less than a percent but managed to stage an impressive rally over the past week, climbing over 6.2%. This sharp rebound has rekindled bullish momentum, with the SPX breaking through the 0.382 Fibonacci resistance at approximately 5,330. However, the index now faces significant resistance at the golden ratio of 5,460, a critical level that could determine the future direction of the trend.
If the S&P 500 manages to break above this crucial Fib resistance, it could signal a resumption of the bullish trend, effectively invalidating the current correction phase. The technical indicators also suggest a favorable outlook.
Technical Indicators Signals and Trends (Daily Chart)
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD lines are on the verge of a bullish crossover, supported by a consistently rising histogram over the past four days, indicating increasing bullish momentum.
- RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI remains neutral, not signaling any immediate overbought or oversold conditions, which leaves room for further upside.
- EMA (Exponential Moving Average): The recent golden crossover of the EMAs confirms a bullish trend in the short to medium term, reinforcing the positive outlook.
Overall, the technical picture suggests that a bullish breakout above the 5,460 resistance could propel the SPX into a stronger uptrend, potentially reversing the recent corrective phase.
The 4H-Chart Suggests Further Upside
On the 4-hour chart, the S&P 500 (SPX) shows bullish signals as technical indicators align positively. The MACD lines have performed a bullish crossover, with the histogram also ticking higher, suggesting increasing upward momentum. Additionally, the golden crossover of the EMAs further confirms the short-term bullish trend. Meanwhile, the RSI remains in neutral territory, not offering a clear directional bias.
In the event of a sudden downturn, the SPX has significant support at the 200-period EMA on the 4-hour chart, around 5,302. If this support level fails to hold, the next key support is at the 200-day EMA, located near 5,087.
S&P 500 Surges Nearly 7 % in a Week, Marking Strong Rebound
After hitting a new all-time high (ATH) of approximately 5,670 five weeks ago, the S&P 500 (SPX) entered a correction phase. However, with a robust 7% surge in the past week, the SPX appears poised to potentially end the correction and make a move back toward its ATH, possibly even surpassing it. The key to this upward momentum is the SPX’s ability to break the golden ratio resistance at around 5,460. However, the technical indicators present an ambiguous picture on the weekly chart, with mixed signals that make the next move uncertain.
Technical Indicators Signals and Trends (Weekly Chart)
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD lines have crossed bearishly, and the histogram has been trending downward for the past five weeks, indicating ongoing bearish momentum.
- RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI remains neutral, not indicating any extreme overbought or oversold conditions, which suggests that there is room for further upside movement.
- EMA (Exponential Moving Average): The golden crossover of the EMAs confirms a bullish trend in the medium term, reinforcing a positive outlook despite recent bearish signals.
Apple Surges Nearly 45 % After Rebounding from Key Support Zone Between $164 and $171 in April
After bouncing off the support zone between $164 and $171 in April, Apple stock embarked on an impressive upward phase, reaching a new all-time high (ATH) of approximately $237 last month. This surge is supported by bullish signals on the monthly chart.
Technical Indicators Signals and Trends (Monthly Chart)
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD lines have crossed bullishly, with the histogram trending upward for the past four months, suggesting strong ongoing bullish momentum.
- RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI remains neutral but is approaching overbought territory, indicating that while there is still room for upward movement, caution is advised.
- EMA (Exponential Moving Average): The golden crossover of the EMAs confirms a bullish trend in the long term, reinforcing the positive outlook.
However, it’s important to note that this month has seen a strong pullback in Apple’s stock, which could indicate some consolidation or a potential reversal in the short term.
Apple Stock Bounces Off $198 Support, Leaving Key Fibonacci Level Untouched
After bouncing off the support at $198, Apple stock avoided testing the golden ratio support at the 50-week EMA, which stands at $192. The stock now faces critical Fibonacci resistance at $223. A successful bullish break above this level could signal a return to its uptrend, potentially pushing the stock back toward its previous all-time high (ATH) of $237.
Technical Indicators Signals and Trends (Weekly Chart)
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD remains bullishly crossed, but a potential bearish crossover looms as the histogram has been trending downward for the past five weeks, suggesting weakening momentum.
- RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is neutral, having recently exited overbought territory, which could indicate room for further consolidation or a potential reversal.
- EMA (Exponential Moving Average): The golden crossover of the EMAs confirms a bullish trend in the mid-term, supporting a generally positive outlook despite the recent pullback.
Apple’s ability to break above the $223 resistance will be crucial in determining whether it can resume its upward trajectory and challenge its previous ATH.
Apple Breaks Through 50-Day EMA Resistance, Setting Stage for Further Gains
After breaking above the 50-day EMA resistance at $212.65, Apple now faces a critical test at the Golden Ratio resistance at $223. If rejected at this level, Apple’s next major support lies back at the 50-day EMA at $212.65, with additional support at $198 and $192.
Technical Indicators Signals and Trends (Daily Chart)
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD is currently bearishly crossed, but with the histogram trending upward for the past four days, a potential bullish crossover could signal a shift in momentum.
- RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI remains neutral, offering no strong directional bias.
- EMA (Exponential Moving Average): The golden crossover of the EMAs confirms a bullish trend in the short-to-mid term, suggesting a generally positive outlook despite recent pullbacks.
Apple Poised to Break 50-4H EMA, Eyeing Golden Ratio Resistance at $223
Apple is on the verge of breaking the 50-4H EMA resistance at $217.35, potentially setting up a surge toward the golden ratio resistance at $223.
Technical Indicators Signals and Trends (4H Chart)
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD lines have crossed bullishly, with the histogram ticking higher, indicating increasing bullish momentum.
- RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI remains neutral, offering no clear directional bias.
- EMA (Exponential Moving Average): The golden crossover of the EMAs confirms a bullish trend in the short term, supporting the potential for further gains.

In summary, while Apple’s stock shows promising signs of continued growth, the outcome largely depends on its ability to break through key resistance levels, particularly the $223 mark. If Apple faces rejection at $223, critical support levels to watch include $212.65, $198, and $192.
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