1. Home /
  2. News /
  3. Meta Stock Crashes 27% – Key Setup for a Strong Relief Ra...

Meta Stock Crashes 27% – Key Setup for a Strong Relief Rally?

Written by: Konstantin Kaiser • Wednesday, March 25, 2026 • 4 min read
• Last updated: Wednesday, March 25, 2026
Meta stock

Quick overview

  • Meta stock has experienced a significant correction of approximately 27% over the past eight months after a 66% rally.
  • The stock is likely to decline further towards the 0.382 Fibonacci support at $525, indicating an additional downside potential of around 11%.
  • Key support levels include $581-$600 for short-term reactions and $500 as major structural support, while resistance is found at $720.
  • The technical outlook remains predominantly bearish, but a bullish reaction at critical support levels could initiate a relief rally.

Meta stock has undergone a sharp correction over the past eight months, declining approximately 27% after an aggressive 66% rally within just five months. This pullback appears corrective in nature rather than structural, with price now approaching a significant support zone where a bullish reaction could emerge and potentially initiate a relief rally.

Meta Stock Set for Another 11% Decline

Meta has remained in a corrective phase for the past eight months and has now retraced back to its November low, a level from which the stock previously staged a strong bullish rebound. However, the probability of a similar reaction at this level now appears limited, increasing the likelihood of a continuation of the correction. As a result, Meta is likely to extend its downside move toward the 0.382 Fibonacci support at $525, implying additional downside potential of approximately 11%.

Should this support level fail to hold, the next major downside target emerges at the 50-month EMA around $489, which would represent a deeper correction of roughly 17%. This region also coincides with the last major swing low, establishing it as a significant historical support zone and a potential area for a more meaningful bullish reaction.

From a momentum perspective, the technical outlook remains bearish on the higher timeframe. The MACD lines have crossed bearishly on the monthly chart, while the MACD histogram has been ticking consistently lower since last month, signaling increasing downside momentum. Meanwhile, the RSI continues to move within neutral territory, indicating a lack of bullish momentum and leaving room for further downside expansion.

Meta
Meta

Meta Faced Rejection at the Golden Ratio Resistance

Following its most recent bullish rebound, Meta rallied strongly into the Golden Ratio resistance at $720, where it encountered a sharp rejection, reinforcing the prevailing corrective structure. As long as META fails to break decisively above this critical $720 resistance, the stock remains firmly within its ongoing correction phase. In the aftermath of the rejection, price has fallen significantly below the 50-week EMA, shifting the technical landscape. The 0.382 Fibonacci level at $663, together with the 50-week EMA at $649, now acts as a key resistance zone on any upward attempts.

From a downside perspective, a continuation of the correction toward the 0.382 Fibonacci support at $525 appears increasingly likely. Slightly below, the 200-week EMA at $500 provides an additional layer of structural support, reinforcing this region as a potential demand zone.

On the weekly timeframe, indicators present a mixed outlook. The MACD lines are bearishly crossed, and the MACD histogram continues to trend lower, signaling persistent downside momentum. However, the EMAs still maintain a golden crossover, confirming that the broader mid-term trend remains bullish despite the ongoing correction. Meanwhile, the RSI shows early signs of a potential bullish divergence, particularly if META dips slightly below its previous low at $581, which could indicate weakening bearish momentum and set the stage for a potential reversal.

Death Cross on the Daily Chart Confirms Short- to Mid-Term Bearish Trend for Meta Stock

On the daily chart, Meta’s technical indicators present a predominantly bearish outlook. The MACD lines remain bearishly crossed, accompanied by a declining MACD histogram, signaling increasing downside momentum. Meanwhile, the RSI continues to move within neutral territory, reflecting weak momentum without reaching oversold extremes.

Adding to the bearish structure, the EMAs have formed a death cross, confirming a bearish trend in the short- to medium-term timeframe. Despite this negative setup, there remains a possibility of a bullish reaction from current support levels. However, the more probable scenario points toward a continuation of the correction, with an additional downside of approximately 11% toward the next significant Fibonacci support.

Should Meta reach the 0.382 Fibonacci support at $525, a bullish bounce becomes increasingly likely. In such a scenario, the stock could initiate a recovery move, targeting the next Fibonacci resistance levels at $629 and $700.

Meta
Meta

Similar Outlook on the 4H Chart

On the 4-hour chart, Meta continues to reflect a bearish short-term structure, with the EMAs forming a death cross that confirms the prevailing downtrend. Momentum indicators remain mixed but lean bearish overall. The RSI provides no clear directional signal, remaining neutral and lacking momentum confirmation on either side.

Meanwhile, the MACD lines are still bearishly crossed, reinforcing the current downside bias. However, the MACD histogram has started to trend higher, indicating a gradual loss of bearish momentum and raising the possibility of an impending bullish crossover.

In the near term, META finds a key support zone between $581 and $600. This region could act as a base for a short-term bullish reaction, and while the broader trend remains bearish, a relief bounce from this support zone cannot be ruled out.

Meta
Meta

Meta Stock at Key Support – Critical Levels to Watch

Meta remains in a prolonged corrective phase across multiple timeframes, with bearish momentum dominating in the short- to mid-term. Repeated rejections at key resistance levels—most notably the Golden Ratio at $720—combined with death crosses on lower timeframes and weakening MACD momentum, reinforce the current downtrend. However, the broader structure still retains a bullish undertone, supported by higher timeframe EMA positioning and potential bullish divergence signals.

Key support levels:

  • $581–$600 – Short-term support zone (4H)
  • $525 – 0.382 Fibonacci support (primary downside target)
  • $500 – 200-week EMA (major structural support)
  • $489 – 50-month EMA (historical support zone)

Key resistance levels:

  • $629 and $700 – First Fib resistance (if bullish bounce at $525)
  • $649–$663 – 50-week EMA + 0.382 Fib resistance cluster
  • $720 – Golden Ratio (trend-defining level if price doesn’t drop below last low)

Scenario:

  • Continued weakness toward $525 remains the most likely path, with ~11% downside potential.
  • A bullish reaction at this level could trigger a rebound toward $629 and $700.
  • Only a confirmed breakout above $720 ($700) would invalidate the correction and re-establish a strong bullish trend.

Bottom line:
Meta is approaching a high-probability reaction zone, where the next move—either a deeper breakdown or a relief rally—will define the medium-term trend.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Konstantin Kaiser
Financial Writer and Market Analyst
Konstantin Kaiser comes from a data science background and has significant experience in quantitative trading. His interest in technology took a notable turn in 2013 when he discovered Bitcoin and was instantly intrigued by the potential of this disruptive technology.

Related Articles

img
Meta, Google Found Liable in Landmark Social Media Addiction Lawsuit
2 d ago
Save
img
Facebook, Google Held Liable in First Social Media Addiction Lawsuit
3 d ago
Save
img
AMD Surges on Meta's Massive AI Infrastructure Pact — Up to $100B in Chips and Equity Stake
1 month ago
Save

HFM

HFM rest

Pu Prime

XM

Best Forex Brokers

trend BTC 0.0000
trend ETH 0.0000
trend EUR/USD 0.0000
trend DOW 0.0000
Alerts Rates Calendar Signals