German Unemployment Rises More Than Forecast

Germany’s unemployment increased more than expected in July as the weaker economy damped job creation at the onset of summer break.

The number of people out of work increased 18,000 from June, when joblessness climbed sharply by 20,000, data from the Federal Labor Agency showed on Wednesday. The July’s increase was bigger than forecast of 15,000.

The jobless rate held steady at 6.0 percent in July, in line with expectations.

Compared to the same month last year, the number of unemployed was 192,000 higher. Unemployment totaled 2.81 million.

The increase in unemployment showed that the slow but gradual cooling of the labor market continues, ING economist Carsten Brzeski said.

The cooling labor market could be one reason why, despite the strongest real wage growth in more than a decade, private consumption will remain subdued in the second half of the year, the economist added.

The weak economic development is putting a strain on the labor market, agency board member Daniel Terzenbach said. Unemployment and underemployment rose more than usual at the beginning of the summer break, the official said.

Elsewhere, data from Destatis, based on the labor force survey, showed that the unemployment rate remained unchanged at adjusted 3.4 percent in June. The number of unemployed persons increased only by 2,000 on month to 1.50 million.

Economic data released thus far this week have raised concerns regarding the biggest euro area economy. GDP data released this week showed that the economy shrank unexpectedly by 0.1 percent in the second quarter, reversing the first quarter’s 0.2 percent expansion.

Germany’s flash consumer price inflation accelerated in July, casting doubts on the chances of an interest rate cut in September. Inflation rose to 2.3 percent in July from 2.2 percent in June, data showed on Tuesday.

Track market moving Economic Events that impact Commodities, Stock, and Forex by using realtime RTTNews Economic Calendar this week.

Unexpected Rise In Eurozone Inflation Casts Doubt Over ECB September Rate Cut

Euro area inflation rose unexpectedly in July and services price growth continued to remain high, adding uncertainty over the likelihood of a September interest rate cut by the European Central Bank.

The harmonized index of consumer prices advanced 2.6 percent year-on-year in July, faster than the 2.5 percent increase in June, flash data from Eurostat showed on Wednesday.

The headline figure was expected to remain unchanged at June’s rate of 2.5 percent.

Core inflation that strips out prices of energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, held steady at 2.9 percent, while it was forecast to slow to 2.8 percent.

On a monthly basis, consumer prices remained flat in July, data showed.

All components of the HICP increased from the previous year. Services cost increased the most in July, up by 4.0 percent but slightly weaker than June’s 4.1 percent.

This was followed by the 2.3 percent increase in food, alcohol and tobacco prices and 1.3 percent rise in energy prices. Non-energy industrial goods prices moved up only 0.8 percent.

Earlier this month, the European Central Bank left its key interest rates unchanged after lowering them for the first time in five years in the previous session and hinted at a rate cut in September.

The small fall in services inflation in July means a rate cut in September is more likely than not, but it is not a done deal, Capital Economics’ economist Franziska Palmas said.

“And until services inflation falls more significantly the ECB is likely to continue to ease policy only slowly,” the economist said.

While the downtrend in inflation remains intact, today’s figures make a September rate cut from the ECB a very close call, ING economist Peter Vanden Houte said.

Among big-four economies, harmonized inflation in both Germany and France rose to 2.6 percent in July from 2.5 percent in June.

Italy’s inflation advanced more markedly to 1.7 percent from 0.9 percent. Meanwhile, Spain’s inflation softened to 2.9 percent from 3.6 percent.

Stay ahead of the market with RTTNews Economic Calendar – track key events that move the financial world.

U.S. Pending Home Sales Rebound Much More Than Expected In June

The National Association of Realtors released a report on Wednesday showing a substantial rebound by pending home sales in the U.S. in the month of June.

NAR said its pending home sales surged by 4.8 percent to 74.3 in June after tumbling by 1.9 percent to a revised reading of 70.9 in May.

Economists had expected pending home sales to jump by 1.3 percent compared to the 2.1 percent slump originally reported for the previous month.

A pending home sale is one in which a contract was signed but not yet closed. Normally, it takes four to six weeks to close a contracted sale.

“The rise in housing inventory is beginning to lead to more contract signings,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “Multiple offers are less intense, and buyers are in a more favorable position.”

The bigger than expected rebound by pending home sales reflected strength in all four regions of the country, with the South leading the way higher with a 6.3 percent spike.

Pending home sales in the Midwest also surged by 4.7 percent, while pending home sales in the West and Northeast jumped by 3.4 percent and 3.0 percent, respectively.

“Even more inventory is expected to come onto the housing market in the upcoming months ahead of the normal, seasonal declines in the winter,” said Yun.

He added, “The Northeast’s small gain in contract signings is due to the ongoing housing shortage situation in that region, leading to stronger home price gains. It is a good time to list.”

Cryptos Mixed As Fed Decision Looms

Cryptos are trading mixed as markets wait for the Fed’s interest rate decision and forward guidance due on Wednesday afternoon.

The Fed is widely expected to hold rates steady but is also anticipated to reinforce hints of rate cut in September. The CME FedWatch tool shows expectations of a 25-basis points rate cut at a little less than 88 percent. More than 12 percent expect a higher rate cut in September.

Amidst the wait, crypto market capitalization is hovering close to $2.40 trillion. With a market capitalization of $171 billion, stablecoins account for 7.2 percent of the overall crypto market.

Only 4 of the top 10 cryptocurrencies are trading with overnight gains in excess of a percent. Around 40 percent of the top 100 cryptocurrencies have slipped more than 1 percent on an overnight basis.

Bitcoin, the original cryptocurrency has gained 0.6 percent overnight and 0.3 percent in the past week as it trades at $66,670.82, around 10 percent below its all-time high. BTC oscillated between $66,810 and $65,323 in the past 24 hours.

Data from Farside Investors showed net outflows of $18 million from Bitcoin Spot ETF products in the U.S. on Tuesday versus net inflow of $124 million on Monday.

Bitcoin’s market dominance has edged down to 54.7 percent from 54.9 percent a day earlier. Ethereum now commands 16.7 percent of the overall crypto market versus 16.8 percent a day earlier.

Bitcoin’s price movement comes amidst Mt. Gox transferring Bitcoin worth $2.25 billion to an unknown recipient. Data from Arkham Intelligence shows transfer of 33,963.9 Bitcoin on July 30.

Ether has recorded overnight gain of 0.3 percent and weekly losses of 3.2 percent. Ether, which is currently trading at $3,335.07, almost 32 percent below its all-time high, ranged between $3,347.64 and $3,235.76 in the past 24 hours.

Data from Farside Investors showed net inflows of $34 million to Ether Spot ETF products in the U.S. on Tuesday versus net outflow of $98 million on Monday.

4th ranked BNB (BNB) added 2.8 percent in the past 24 hours to trade at $588.22. The native token of the Binance.com cryptocurrency exchange is trading with weekly gains of half a percent and year-to-date gains of more than 88 percent.

5th ranked Solana (SOL) rallied 2.2 percent in the past 24 hours and 3.2 percent in the past week to trade at $183.39. Solana’s weekly gains are the highest among the top 10 cryptocurrencies and is attributed to hopes of a Solana-based ETF product in the U.S. and reports of the Securities and Exchange commission not seeking to classify Solana as a security.

6th ranked XRP (XRP) rallied 4.9 percent overnight, lifting gains to 3 percent on a weekly basis and to 5 percent in 2024. XRP topped overnight gains among the top 10 cryptocurrencies.

Dogecoin (DOGE), ranked 8th overall has slipped 0.40 percent in the past 24 hours to trade at $0.1271.

9th ranked Toncoin (TON) added 2.5 percent overnight to trade at $6.82.

10th ranked Cardano (ADA) increased 0.7 percent overnight and is currently changing hands at $0.4034.

22nd ranked Kaspa (KAS) topped overnight gains among the top 100 cryptocurrencies with a surge of more than 6 percent. 72nd ranked Beam (BEAM) also recorded gains of more than 6 percent, followed by 83rd ranked Mog Coin (MOG) that added 5.2 percent in the past 24 hours.

64th ranked Fantom (FTM) topped overnight losses among the top 100 cryptocurrencies with a decline of more than 8 percent. 97th ranked Ethena (ENA) followed with overnight losses of more than 6 percent.

For More Cryptocurrency News, visit rttnews.com

U.S. Stocks Move Sharply Higher Ahead Of Fed Announcement

Stocks have shown a strong move to the upside during trading on Wednesday, with the major U.S. stock indexes all moving higher following the mixed performance seen in the previous session. The Nasdaq has shown a particularly strong upward move following the steep drop seen on Tuesday.

The major averages have given back ground in recent trading but remain positive. The Nasdaq is up 383.10 points or 2.2 percent at 17,530.52, the S&P 500 is up 77.95 points or 1.4 percent at 5,514.39 and the Dow is up 83.92 points or 0.2 percent at 40,827.25.

The rally on Wall Street partly reflects a positive reaction to some of the latest corporate earnings news from companies like Advanced Micro Devices (AMD).

Shares of AMD are surging by 5.5 percent after the chipmaker reported second quarter results that exceeded analyst estimates on both the top and bottom lines.

Coffee giant Starbucks (SBUX) is also seeing significant strength after reporting fiscal third quarter earnings in line with estimates and maintaining its full-year guidance.

Shares of DuPont (DD) have also surged after the chemical giant reported better than expected second quarter results.

On the other hand, shares of Microsoft (MSFT) have moved to the downside after the tech giant reported quarterly earnings and revenue that beat expectations but disappointing cloud computing results.

The upward momentum on Wall Street also comes as traders look ahead to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy announcement this afternoon.

The Fed is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged, but the accompanying statement could have a significant impact on the outlook for the central bank’s next decision in September.

With Fed officials repeatedly saying they need “greater confidence” inflation is slowing before cutting rates, recent inflation data has led to optimism about a September rate cut.

According to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, there is currently an 87.7 percent chance the Fed will lower rates by a quarter point in September and an 11.9 percent chance of a half point rate cut.

Sector News

Semiconductor stocks have shown a substantial rebound on the heels of the upbeat AMD earnings, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index soaring by 5.0 percent after ending the previous session at its lowest closing level in over two months.

Considerable strength is also visible among computer hardware stocks, as reflected by the 2.7 percent surge by the NYSE Arca Computer Hardware Index.

Gold stocks have also rallied amid an increase by the price of the precious metal, driving the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index up by 2.2 percent.

Networking, retail and oil service stocks are also seeing notable strength, moving higher along with most of the other major sectors.

Other Markets

In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region moved sharply higher during trading on Wednesday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index jumped by 1.5 percent, while China’s Shanghai Composite Index surged by 2.1 percent.

The major European markets have also moved to the upside on the day. While the German DAX Index has climbed by 0.5 percent, the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index and the French CAC 40 Index are both up by 1.0 percent.

In the bond market, treasuries are extending the upward move seen over the past several sessions. As a result, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, is down by 3.3 basis points at 4.107 percent.

Meta Rolls Out AI Studio In US To Create Customized Chatbots

Meta Platforms (META) is introducing AI studio in the U.S., allowing creators to build a personalized AI-powered chatbot.

“With AI Studio, we’re taking the first steps in creating a world where anyone can harness the creative capabilities of AI – and this is just the beginning”, Meta said in a blog post.

The customized AI could be shared with friends and followers, and could be used on Instagram, Whatsapp, Messenger, and web.

To build an AI character, the user has to visit AI studio or start a new message on Instagram and then tap on ‘AI chats’. From there, the user can customize their AI character’s name, personality, avatar, tone, and tagline.

“You can use a wide variety of prompt templates or start from scratch to make an AI that teaches you how to cook, helps you with your Instagram captions, generates memes to make your friends laugh – the possibilities are endless”, the tech giant explained.

The AI studio, built with Llama 3.1, would help Instagram creators to create a customized AI to reply in messages and stories on behalf of them.

“Whether it’s sharing facts about themselves or linking to their favorite brands and past videos, creator AIs can help creators reach more people and fans get responses faster”, Meta stated.

“We have policies and protections in place to keep people safe and help ensure AIs are used responsibly, so that chatting with AIs remains fun and helpful”, the Facebook-parent added.

OpenAI Releases Advanced Voice Mode For Some ChatGPT Plus Users

OpenAI has introduced Advanced Voice Mode for a certain group of ChatGPT Plus users, surprising them with remarkably lifelike audio responses.

The new voice mode can respond in real time without any delay, as well as judge the speaker’s emotional state based on their tone.

The feature was initially introduced during the GPT-4o launch event in May. However, it was criticized for sounding similar to actress Scarlett Johansson.

Later, OpenAI planned to launch it in late June, but was again delayed as the feature needed one more month to reach the company’s bar to launch.

The AI company tested the AI model’s voice capabilities with more than 100 testers, “who collectively speak a total of 45 different languages, and represent 29 different geographies,” as per CNN.

To ensure safety, OpenAI has “added new filters that will recognize and block certain requests to generate music or other copyrighted audio,” the company spokesperson Taya Christianson said.

The feature will be gradually rolled out for all Plus users in the fall of 2024.

Federal Reserve Leaves Rates Unchanged, Acknowledges Further Progress On Inflation

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday announced its widely expected monetary policy decision to leave interest rates unchanged.

Citing its goals of maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run, the Fed said it decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 5.25 to 5.50 percent.

The Fed acknowledged “some further progress” toward its inflation objective but reiterated officials need “greater confidence” inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent before cutting rates.

The central bank’s accompanying statement was largely unchanged from last month, although some minor changes may hint at future rate cuts.

Notably, the Fed said it is attentive to the risks to “both sides of its dual mandate” after previously saying it was “highly attentive to inflation risks.”

The Fed said it would continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook and reiterated it would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of its goals.

The central bank’s next monetary policy meeting is scheduled for September 17-18, when investors widely expected the Fed to begin lowering interest rates.

According to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, there is currently a 93.5 percent chance the Fed will lower rates by a quarter point in September.

U.S. Stocks Rally On Upbeat Earnings News, Rate Cut Optimism

After moving sharply higher early in the session, stocks continued to turn in a strong performance throughout the trading day on Wednesday. The major averages all moved to the upside after ending Tuesday’s trading mixed, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq posting a particularly strong gain.

The Nasdaq soared 451.98 points or 2.6 percent to 17,599.40, more than offsetting the 1.3 percent slump seen during yesterday’s session. The S&P 500 also jumped 85.86 points or 1.6 percent to 5,522.30, while the Dow rose 99.46 points or 0.2 percent to 40,842.79.

The early rally on Wall Street partly reflected a positive reaction to some of the latest corporate earnings news from companies like Advanced Micro Devices (AMD).

Shares of AMD surged by 4.4 percent after the chipmaker reported second quarter results that exceeded analyst estimates on both the top and bottom lines.

Coffee giant Starbucks (SBUX) also saw significant strength after reporting fiscal third quarter earnings in line with estimates and maintaining its full-year guidance.

Shares of DuPont (DD) also moved sharply higher after the chemical giant reported better than expected second quarter results.

On the other hand, shares of Microsoft (MSFT) moved to the downside after the tech giant reported quarterly earnings and revenue that beat expectations but disappointing cloud computing results.

Stocks continued to see significant strength in afternoon trading following the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy announcement.

While the Fed left interest rates unchanged, as widely expected, minor changes to the accompanying statement may hint at future rate cuts.

Notably, the Fed said it is attentive to the risks to “both sides of its dual mandate” after previously saying it was “highly attentive to inflation risks.”

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said during his post-meeting press conference that a rate cut in September would be “on the table” if economic data continues on its current bath.

The central bank’s next monetary policy meeting is scheduled for September 17-18, when investors widely expected the Fed to begin lowering interest rates.

According to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, there is currently a 93.5 percent chance the Fed will lower rates by a quarter point in September.

Sector News

Semiconductor stocks showed a substantial rebound on the heels of the upbeat AMD earnings, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index soaring by 7.0 percent after ending the previous session at its lowest closing level in over two months.

Considerable strength was also visible among computer hardware stocks, as reflected by the 3.4 percent surge by the NYSE Arca Computer Hardware Index.

Gold stocks also rallied amid a sharp increase by the price of the precious metal, driving the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index up by 2.8 percent.

Telecom ,networking and oil service stocks are also saw significant strength, while some weakness emerged among airline and banking stocks.

Other Markets

In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region moved sharply higher during trading on Wednesday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index shot up by 1.5 percent, while China’s Shanghai Composite Index surged by 2.1 percent.

The major European markets also moved to the upside on the day. While the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index jumped by 1.1 percent, the French CAC 40 Index advanced by 0.8 percent and the German DAX Index climbed by 0.5 percent.

In the bond market, treasuries extended the upward move seen over the past several sessions. As a result, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, fell 3.4 basis points to a four-month closing low of 4.109 percent.

Looking Ahead

A slew of U.S. economic data is scheduled to be released on Thursday, including reports on weekly jobless claims, labor productivity and costs, manufacturing activity and construction spending.

Nasdaq, Stocks Higher As Powell Hints on A September FED Cut

We have seen a sizeable retreat in stock markets in recent weeks, but they surged higher today, with Nasdaq leading the way. Before the FOMC rate announcement scheduled for 6 PM GMT, major US market indices opened higher, signaling strong investor sentiment. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell downplayed the APD employment and employment cost figures, which slightly missed estimates at 0.9% versus the expected 1.0%. This pointed to a softening in the US labor market. Continue reading “Nasdaq, Stocks Higher As Powell Hints on A September FED Cut”